Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 121.496163 139.875945 161.185179 187.981272 221.155824 261.390689 3.146831e+02
2025-03-30 93.445297 115.237109 143.069352 182.124812 237.057801 314.128786 4.355132e+02
2025-04-06 80.074323 103.367202 135.142145 183.360019 258.020025 375.750451 5.912827e+02
2025-04-13 70.499219 94.138277 128.024514 182.679551 274.174033 433.606597 7.686739e+02
2025-04-20 65.471000 90.189315 127.301728 190.775876 305.635935 527.847202 1.073154e+03
2025-04-27 62.774110 89.088254 130.411001 205.346323 352.331785 671.025955 1.610298e+03
2025-05-04 57.477237 83.196208 124.818135 203.390639 366.576927 751.649037 2.066419e+03
2025-05-11 53.732698 79.273866 121.839940 205.472913 389.621370 865.128968 2.787112e+03
2025-05-18 49.699454 74.408394 116.537306 201.967905 399.188378 948.561685 3.536708e+03
2025-05-25 46.961726 71.413549 114.132610 203.783094 421.919127 1085.118472 4.869709e+03
2025-06-01 44.252537 68.189216 110.888513 203.205716 438.569979 1214.368339 6.587884e+03
2025-06-08 41.507237 64.649619 106.641048 199.694695 446.486506 1319.555241 8.597005e+03
2025-06-15 40.221812 63.798716 107.841310 209.709921 499.549494 1669.510174 1.613904e+04
2025-06-22 37.255895 59.661658 102.165139 202.760582 500.273183 1796.354877 2.269592e+04
2025-06-29 35.424480 57.448672 100.089949 204.180711 528.839868 2106.529530 4.183178e+04
2025-07-06 33.587949 55.055830 97.350358 203.393665 550.083799 2414.986347 8.068307e+04
2025-07-13 32.761573 54.507476 98.410069 212.763419 613.296406 3136.297366 3.250023e+05
2025-07-20 32.516946 55.056505 101.900436 229.677857 717.646674 4531.556537 1.701041e+07
2025-07-27 30.939129 52.814056 98.899355 227.403732 739.437356 5226.107960 NaN
2025-08-03 29.801408 51.369458 97.555622 229.825099 785.361134 6444.316283 NaN
2025-08-10 28.359946 49.195995 94.294071 225.750075 797.870418 7289.841600 NaN
2025-08-17 27.392196 47.933581 93.054811 227.859996 845.022188 9089.527060 NaN
2025-08-24 26.341693 46.423029 91.067992 227.188760 877.530795 10945.672461 NaN